The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

by David Spiegelhalter

How dangerous is our diet? How much of sports falls into the realm of luck? When authorities categorize a given event as "highly likely"--how likely is that, really? Whether we're trying to decide if the benefits of a new medication are worth the chance of side effects or if artificial intelligence truly threatens humanity, our lives are riddled with uncertainties both everyday and existential--yet it can be difficult to know how to properly weigh...

• Format: Hardcover
• Language: English
• ISBN: 1324106115
• ISBN13: 9781324106111
• Release Date: March 2025
• Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
• Length: 336 Pages