Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections: A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistic

by Gunther Schmidt, Winfried Schröder, Günther Schmidt

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted...

• Format: Paperback
• Language: English
• ISBN: 3319038222
• ISBN13: 9783319038223
• Release Date: January 2014
• Publisher: Springer
• Length: 58 Pages
• Weight: 0.20 lbs.
• Dimensions: 0.2" x 5.9" x 8.9"