Long-range forecasting: From crystal ball to computer

By Jon Scott Armstrong

Book Overview

Comprehensively covering all aspects of long-range forecasting methods relevant to the social, behavioral and management sciences, this book is a synthesis of research in economics, sociology, psychology, transportation, education, and management - with occasional references to work in medicine, meterology, and technology. It describes a variety of forecasting methods, their strengths and weaknesses, and how to use them effectively, shows how to structure a forecasting problem, and gives detailed procedures for evaluating forecasting models in order to select the appropriate method for a particular problem. The book draws upon material from approximately 1300 books and articles, and includes original research by the author. This description may be from another edition of this product.

• Format: Hardcover
• Language: English
• ISBN: 0471030023
• ISBN13: 9780471030027
• Release Date: January 1978
• Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
• Length: 630 Pages
• Weight: 2.24 lbs.

Customer Reviews

Best book on predictions and integrating methods

As far as I can tell, there are just two editions. I have both. The 2nd edition was released in 1985. Both editions are heavily underlined and dog-eared from repeated readings.This MIT professor has done a masterful job at describing the process of making predictions and forecasting. The book is extremely easy to read and is well footnoted. This is obviously a labor of love for this expert on forecasting.You'll laugh...