Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better

by Dan Gardner

Book Overview

An award-winning journalist uses landmark research to debunk the whole expert prediction industry, and explores the psychology of our obsession with future history. In 2008, experts predicted gas would hit $20 a gallon; it peaked at $4.10. In 1967, they said the USSR would be the world's fastest-growing economy by 2000; by 2000, the USSR no longer existed. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that...

• Format: Hardcover
• Language: English
• ISBN: 0525952055
• ISBN13: 9780525952053
• Release Date: March 2011
• Publisher: Dutton Books
• Length: 320 Pages
• Weight: 1.18 lbs.
• Dimensions: 1.1" x 6.4" x 9.3"
• Age Range: 18 years and up
• Grade Range: Postsecondary and higher